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We Expect GDP Growth to Weaken Until Fed Starts Cutting Interest Rates

Our economic forecast is optimistic in the long run thanks to labor supply and productivity expansion.

4 Reasons the Economy Has Been Resilient to Higher Interest Rates

And why we don’t expect that resilience to last forever.

What’s Going on With Apple, Tesla, and Alphabet?

Plus, what higher interest rates mean for investors and borrowers, and Morningstar’s outlook for Boeing’s stock.

When Will the Fed Start Cutting Interest Rates?

Our latest economic forecast for interest rates, inflation, and GDP growth.

Higher Interest Rates Stick Around

Fed makes a change to its bond holdings, while mortgage and other borrowing costs remain elevated.

What Your Asset Mix in Retirement Should Be During Higher Interest Rates

Despite attractive yields on cash and bonds, some retirees may still need a more aggressive portfolio.

How Rising Interest Rates Change the Relationship Between Stocks and Bonds

A closer link between the two asset classes reduces the benefit of including both in a portfolio.

Big Banks: High Interest Rates and Sticky Inflation Haven’t Dented Consumer Spending

But changing spending patterns bear watching.

Q2 Update: 2024 Outlook for the Stock Market and Economy

Our expectations for the US equity market, plus top stock picks for the quarter.

What Hot Inflation and Delayed Rate Cuts Mean for Investors

There are near-term headwinds but a long-term constructive outlook.

These 4 Charts Show Plunging Expectations for Fed Rate Cuts

The hot March CPI report has bond traders significantly paring back rate cuts in 2024.

3 Risks Higher Interest Rates Pose to Your Retirement Plan

How to avoid the pitfalls.

Markets Brief: What Fewer Rate Cuts Could Mean for Stock Valuations

Insights into key market performance and economic trends from Dan Kemp, Morningstar’s global chief research and investment officer.

What Higher Interest Rates Mean for Retirement Cash Flows

Now that interest rates are higher, should retirees try to live off of their portfolios’ yields?

Despite Strong Jobs Report, Fed Still Seen on Track to Cut Rates

Inflation data will be key to when the Fed will lower rates.

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